A distinguished analyst exhibits XRP market cap replicating its 2017 run towards the PHLX gold and silver index, with a possible 1,000% run looming.
XRP has struggled over the previous few weeks as a result of broader market’s persistent turbulence. With costs tumbling from the $3 mark to only under the $2.6 area, XRP’s market cap has additionally collapsed from a excessive of $175 billion at the beginning of February to the present determine of $149 billion.
The XRP/XAU Pair
Apparently, market analyst EGRAG, in his latest report, analyzed XRP’s market cap efficiency towards the Philadelphia (PHLX) gold and silver sector index. For context, this index trades on the Philadelphia Inventory Trade and tracks the shares of 30 valuable metallic mining corporations.
Notably, the Philadelphia gold and silver sector index trades with the ticker XAU, the identical ticker for gold ounce, and this may be fairly complicated for some merchants. Nevertheless, it will be significant to rigorously observe this. EGRAG’s chart exhibits the XRP/XAU pair, which primarily interprets to XRP market cap towards the index.
The analyst identified that each time the index (XAU) drops in greenback phrases, the worth of XRP towards the index will increase, and this has an impact on XRP worth in greenback phrases.
XRP Bounces Off Equilibrium and 7-Month MA
In keeping with him, XRP worth towards XAU seems to have bounced above an equilibrium part after an enormous collapse that occurred this month. This collapse was resulting from XRP’s sudden worth crash to $1.7 in what many have thought-about an odd market motion.

This crash in XRP worth led to a drop within the XRP/XAU pair to the equilibrium part, and the following restoration allowed XRP to bounce off this equilibrium. Furthermore, these latest worth actions additionally led to an identical drop to the 7-month MA and a subsequent bounce off this help.
Now, the XRP/XAU pair is buying and selling effectively above each the equilibrium part and the 7-month transferring common. EGRAG then known as consideration to 3 bullish month-to-month candles witnessed by the XRP/XAU pair from November 2024 to January 2025, as XRP carried out effectively towards XAU inside these months.
He recognized an identical pattern from March to Might 2017, wherein XRP recorded three bullish month-to-month candles towards XAU. Nevertheless, the extent of the expansion from 2017 was a lot larger than what the market noticed within the present cycle.
EGRAG identified {that a} purple month-to-month candle additionally appeared after the three inexperienced candles from 2017, indicating that the market is replicating the 2017 actions. If that is true, then following this present purple candle, XRP might surge towards XAU within the coming months, mirroring the 2017 pattern.
What a 1,000% Rise May Imply for XRP Value
The market analyst burdened that in 2017, this sample led to a 1,000% spike within the XRP/XAU pair. At the moment, this pair trades for $893.9 million, attained by dividing XRP’s present market cap ($149.64 billion) by the present worth of the PHLX gold and silver index ($167.39).
If an identical 1,000% spike happens whereas the worth of the index stays at $167.39, this may result in a worth of $9.83 billion for the XRP/XAU pair. Notably, such a price for the pair interprets to an XRP market cap of $1.64 trillion, supposing the index trades at $167.39. At such a market cap, XRP worth would sit at $28.5.
DisClamier: This content material is informational and shouldn’t be thought-about monetary recommendation. The views expressed on this article might embody the writer’s private opinions and don’t mirror The Crypto Fundamental opinion. Readers are inspired to do thorough analysis earlier than making any funding selections. The Crypto Fundamental isn’t chargeable for any monetary losses.